Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.223022 0.257687 0.295779 0.340718 0.392265 0.449523 0.517932
2024-10-20 0.171690 0.217478 0.272359 0.342890 0.431047 0.537516 0.675810
2024-10-27 0.129733 0.178828 0.242551 0.331102 0.450762 0.606635 0.824922
2024-11-03 0.106695 0.158982 0.231999 0.340988 0.499110 0.719708 1.050379
2024-11-10 0.089701 0.143672 0.224311 0.352880 0.551979 0.847713 1.319350
2024-11-17 0.073591 0.126135 0.209773 0.351582 0.584909 0.952191 1.572427
2024-11-24 0.060862 0.111161 0.196106 0.348633 0.614132 1.055121 1.840223
2024-12-01 0.051160 0.099186 0.184915 0.347323 0.645235 1.165355 2.137744
2024-12-08 0.043766 0.089755 0.176236 0.348504 0.680363 1.287280 2.474691
2024-12-15 0.038585 0.083420 0.171947 0.356770 0.729450 1.441089 2.893343
2024-12-22 0.033222 0.075574 0.163217 0.354625 0.757821 1.560101 3.264410
2024-12-29 0.029744 0.070977 0.160148 0.363286 0.809009 1.730600 3.762849
2025-01-05 0.025525 0.063955 0.150868 0.357527 0.830100 1.845812 4.171529
2025-01-12 0.022772 0.059770 0.147092 0.363339 0.877570 2.024041 4.744053
2025-01-19 0.019440 0.053451 0.137203 0.353169 0.887058 2.121277 5.154025
2025-01-26 0.017826 0.051174 0.136597 0.365285 0.951278 2.351997 5.906901
2025-02-02 0.016472 0.049302 0.136656 0.379102 1.022131 2.609222 6.763600
2025-02-09 0.014642 0.045694 0.131517 0.378447 1.056228 2.783203 7.444584
2025-02-16 0.012980 0.042200 0.126012 0.375768 1.084580 2.947319 8.126962
2025-02-23 0.011596 0.039227 0.121386 0.374684 1.117119 3.127264 8.879265
2025-03-02 0.010467 0.036799 0.117874 0.376174 1.157205 3.333435 9.734631
2025-03-09 0.009683 0.035323 0.116936 0.385226 1.220851 3.613562 10.837909
2025-03-16 0.008691 0.032906 0.112611 0.383015 1.250640 3.803813 11.716986